Cor Jesu Academy
prior #5 · recommended #5 · final #5 legacy 1.00Margin strength
3.1
vs top-16 avg 3.1
Projected margin
0.6
after grad turnover
Rolling RPI
0.595
as of 2025-05-30
Offense
68.72
domain stat (not blended)
Defense
73.43
domain stat
Possession
78.80
domain stat
Why the model lands here
- Prior finish
- #5
- Recommended (model)
- #4
- Recommended (adjusted)
- #5
- Margin # (diagnostic)
- #5
- Projected margin rating
- 0.6
- Departure loss %
- 21.3%
- Returning production share
- 69.6%
- Departure loss
- 21.3%
- Seniors departing
- 5
- Awards points
- +0 returning · −0 departing
- Legacy prior
- 1.00
Awards
No awards rolled up.
Departing players (2024-25)
Replacement-level subtraction already applied. % of team departure loss is what's left after the bench absorbs.
| Player | Position | Goals | SOS off share | Off loss | Pos loss | Def loss | % of team loss |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abby Finnegan | — | 70 | 29.4% | 25.3% | 49.1% | 7.6% | 20.9% |
| Madi Beuligmann | — | 1 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Elizabeth Flanagan | — | 1 | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julia Villhard | — | 1 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Naida Reitenbach | — | 0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Player impact (2024-25)
| Player | Position | GP | Goals | Off SOS share | Pos SOS share | Def share | G / F | Composite pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abby Finnegan | offense | 18 | 70 | 29.3% | 53.1% | 10.2% | 0.0% / 10.2% | 21.9 |
| Cate Figge | offense | 16 | 55 | 25.5% | 26.4% | 6.0% | 0.0% / 6.0% | 13.7 |
| Maggie Bruno | goalie | 18 | 0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 38.4% | 36.9% / 1.4% | 9.9 |
| Paige Ferris | offense | 18 | 26 | 11.8% | 15.0% | 5.1% | 0.0% / 5.1% | 7.6 |
| Charlie Cates | goalie | 13 | 0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 18.3% | 18.1% / 0.3% | 4.7 |
| Sophia Work | offense | 17 | 23 | 8.7% | 0.5% | 2.9% | 0.0% / 2.9% | 2.9 |
| Georgia Slinkard | offense | 16 | 12 | 4.5% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 0.0% / 3.3% | 2.4 |
| Millie Erickson | offense | 16 | 15 | 6.6% | 0.2% | 2.0% | 0.0% / 2.0% | 2.1 |
| Claire Henderson | offense | 16 | 11 | 5.2% | 0.0% | 1.7% | 0.0% / 1.7% | 1.7 |
| Madi Beuligmann | defense | 16 | 2 | 0.4% | 1.9% | 3.9% | 0.0% / 3.9% | 1.4 |
| Kaitlyn Loeffelman | offense | 14 | 8 | 3.0% | 0.0% | 1.1% | 0.0% / 1.1% | 1.0 |
| Amanda Missey | offense | 13 | 6 | 2.7% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 0.0% / 1.1% | 1.0 |
| Naida Reitenbach | defense | 9 | 1 | 0.2% | 0.0% | 2.4% | 0.0% / 2.4% | 0.6 |
| Jane Miller | offense | 5 | 1 | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% / 0.6% | 0.4 |
| Elizabeth Flanagan | offense | 8 | 2 | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.9% | 0.0% / 0.9% | 0.3 |
| Aly Grzovic | offense | 9 | 1 | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% / 0.6% | 0.2 |
| Julia Villhard | defense | 6 | 2 | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% / 0.8% | 0.2 |
| Izzy Larkin | offense | 3 | 1 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% / 0.1% | 0.1 |
| Megan Flanagan | offense | 4 | 1 | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% / 0.2% | 0.1 |
| Kerry Harrington | defense | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% / 0.4% | 0.1 |
| Devin Bergan | defense | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% / 0.1% | 0.0 |
Projected matchups (2026)
| Opponent | Expected margin | Risk |
|---|---|---|
| Incarnate Word | 11.3 | blowout |
| Belleville West | 10.0 | blowout |
| Notre Dame | 9.7 | — |
| Francis Howell North | 8.7 | — |
| Ursuline Academy | 7.2 | — |
| Northwest | 6.8 | — |
| Nerinx Hall | 6.6 | — |
| Francis Howell Central | 6.3 | — |
| Wentzville | 5.7 | — |
| Francis Howell | 5.7 | — |
| Lindbergh | 5.6 | — |
| St. Dominic | 5.2 | — |
| Parkway West | 5.2 | — |
| O'Fallon | 5.2 | — |
| Rockwood Summit | 5.2 | — |
| Villa Duchesne | 5.0 | — |
| Parkway South | 4.9 | — |
| Webster Groves | 4.4 | — |
| Kirkwood | 4.2 | — |
| John Burroughs | -4.2 | — |
| Lafayette | 4.0 | — |
| Marquette | 3.7 | — |
| Oakville | 3.6 | — |
| Visitation Academy | 3.6 | — |
| Fox High School | 2.8 | — |
| St. Joseph's Academy | 2.8 | — |
| Westminster | 2.6 | — |
| Eureka | -2.3 | — |
| Parkway Central | -2.1 | — |
| Clayton | 1.8 | — |
| Edwardsville | 1.8 | — |
| MICDS | -1.1 | — |
| Ladue Horton Watkins | 0.8 | — |
Full board packet row (raw)
{
"forecast_year": 2026,
"team_name": "Cor Jesu Academy",
"season": null,
"prior_finish_rank": 5,
"current_composite_rank": 6,
"recommended_rank": 4,
"composite_rank_diagnostic": null,
"rank_delta_vs_prior": -1,
"rank_delta_vs_composite": null,
"current_composite": null,
"projected_composite": 57.2,
"score_drop": 21.3,
"returning_production_share": 0.696,
"departure_loss_pct": 21.3,
"legacy_prior": 1.0,
"seniors_count": 5,
"awards_points": 0,
"departing_awards_points": 0,
"returning_awards_points": 0,
"flag_codes": null,
"action_flag_codes": null,
"info_flag_codes": null,
"flag_count": 0,
"action_flag_count": 0,
"needs_board_review": "no",
"review_priority": null,
"regression_tracks": null,
"board_note": "Roster model aligns with priors; no secondary review required.",
"secondary_slot_delta": 0,
"secondary_adjustment_reasons": null,
"recommended_rank_adjusted": 5,
"adjusted_rank_delta": 1,
"league_order_rank": null,
"actual_finish_rank": 4,
"projection_error": 0.0,
"is_backtest": true,
"raw_row": "{\"season\": \"2025_26_backtest\", \"team_name\": \"Cor Jesu Academy\", \"board_note\": \"Roster model aligns with priors; no secondary review required.\", \"feeder_gap\": \"0.0\", \"final_rank\": \"\", \"flag_codes\": \"\", \"flag_count\": \"0\", \"score_drop\": \"21.3\", \"legacy_prior\": \"1.0\", \"awards_points\": \"0\", \"program_notes\": \"\", \"seniors_count\": \"5\", \"info_flag_codes\": \"\", \"review_priority\": \"\", \"board_voted_rank\": \"\", \"defense_lost_pct\": \"9.0\", \"departing_awards\": \"\", \"offense_lost_pct\": \"19.1\", \"projection_error\": \"0\", \"recommended_rank\": \"4\", \"returning_awards\": \"\", \"team_assist_rate\": \"0.304\", \"action_flag_codes\": \"\", \"action_flag_count\": \"0\", \"adjusted_vs_prior\": \"0\", \"current_composite\": \"\", \"final_rank_source\": \"\", \"prior_finish_rank\": \"5\", \"regression_tracks\": \"\", \"actual_finish_rank\": \"4\", \"departure_loss_pct\": \"21.3\", \"needs_board_review\": \"no\", \"returning_draw_pct\": \"0.439\", \"adjusted_rank_delta\": \"1\", \"possession_lost_pct\": \"37.5\", \"projected_composite\": \"57.2\", \"rank_delta_vs_prior\": \"-1\", \"composite_split_note\": \"\", \"returning_draw_share\": \"0.439\", \"secondary_slot_delta\": \"0\", \"feeder_pair_departing\": \"False\", \"current_composite_rank\": \"6\", \"returning_assist_share\": \"0.833\", \"departing_awards_points\": \"0\", \"projected_margin_rating\": \"0.59\", \"rank_delta_vs_composite\": \"\", \"returning_awards_points\": \"0\", \"roster_stat_adjustments\": \"late_underclass_surge_relief;returning_draw_relief\", \"projected_turnover_index\": \"78.71\", \"composite_rank_diagnostic\": \"\", \"recommended_rank_adjusted\": \"5\", \"late_underclass_goal_share\": \"0.615\", \"returning_production_share\": \"0.696\", \"secondary_adjustment_reasons\": \"\", \"margin_strength_rank_diagnostic\": \"5\"}",
"margin_strength_rank_diagnostic": 5,
"projected_margin_rating": 0.59,
"avg_margin_vs_top16": null,
"projected_turnover_index": 78.71,
"departing_awards": null,
"returning_awards": null,
"override_voted_rank": null,
"override_program_notes": null,
"override_final_rank": null,
"override_updated_at": null,
"override_updated_by": null,
"team_slug": "cor-jesu-academy",
"effective_rank": 5,
"final_rank_resolved": 5
}